As part of FAO’s flagship State of the Food and Agriculture (SOFA) 2024 report, Value-Driven Transformation of Agrifood Systems, FABLE produced a background study that provides a deep dive on the hidden costs of agrifood systems in six countries: Australia, Brazil, Colombia, Ethiopia, India, and the United Kingdom.
Ahead of the UN Biodiversity Conference (CBD COP16) in Cali, the FABLE Consortium calls on Parties to the CBD to co-develop, through inter-agency dialogue and cooperation informed by research, integrated roadmaps that simultaneously address the food and land use system drivers of biodiversity loss, malnutrition, and climate change.
A recent policy brief by FABLE India examines India's 2018 Biofuel Policy and its impact on food and environmental indicators. The study evaluates different sugarcane-based feedstock mixtures to meet the ethanol blend mandate through three alternative pathways up to 2050, and explains how diversifying ethanol sources from molasses to sugarcane juice offers the most benefits.
In a recent paper published in Nature Sustainability, researchers from FABLE Norway explore the complexities of sustainability within the food system, focusing on ruminant production and consumption as an example. The paper proposes ways forward in line with global and national climate, environment and health targets as well as important local values.
In a scientific publication on Nature Food, members of FABLE China propose holistic food system innovation strategies to reduce China's reliance on protein imports and enhance global environmental sustainability.
The FABLE Consortium presents new pathways for food and land-use systems in 22 countries, 6 regions, and globally. These pathways are the result of the 2023 Scenathon, a decentralized global modelling exercise involving 89 researchers worldwide. The findings are highlighted in the 9th edition of the Sustainable Development Report (SDR) by the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN).
FABLE analyzes UN Food Systems Pathways across 18 countries, and provides recommendations to integrate these pathways with quantitative trajectories. While the UNFS pathways prioritize food and nutrition security and economic development over climate and biodiversity, they also highlight areas where FABLE tools need further development.
In an article published in Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, the lead of FABLE Russia analyzes carbon stock variations in Russian cropland soils at a regional scale, and finds slight net gains, driven by plant residues. This finding underscores a potential for crop production to contribute to carbon sequestration efforts.
In an article published in Science of The Total Environment, authors from FABLE China explore the driving forces behind the 'pollution hotspots' linked to pig production, and the opportunities for reduction.
FABLE India and PIK employ the MAgPIE model to study policies for alleviating water resource strain. The paper published in Environmental Research Letters, reveals potential for raising energy prices in agriculture with minimal impacts on production and trade while reducing water withdrawals by 2050.
The FABLE China team joined other researchers in using modeling and scenario analysis to investigate how to mitigate the potential adverse impacts on the food system caused by ambitious bioenergy deployment in China and its trading partners.
This policy brief by FABLE Colombia and IIASA reviews targets and actions from five Colombian policies aimed at halting deforestation and enhancing restoration, and model their impacts on land use, agricultural production and GHG emissions by 2030 and 2040 under three alternative pathways.
This assessment evaluates existing greenhouse gas (GHG) projections for the Chinese agriculture, forestry and land use (AFOLU) sector and the models being used to create them. A total of eight models (GLOBIOM-China, MAgPIE-China, GCAM5.3, FABLE Calculator-China, ORCHIDEE, PECE-LIU, AGHG-INV and SRNM) are compared and analysed for their coverage of sectors, carbon pools, land use categories, and projections.
This paper led by the Food and Land Use Coalition‘s (FOLU) China platform, with contributions from SDSN, highlights the climate mitigation potential of China's food and land use systems, and outlines concrete actions that policymakers, researchers and NGOs can take to achieve its 2060 carbon neutrality ambition.
A new paper by the FABLE Consortium was published in Environmental Research Letters. The paper presents the tools developed by FABLE to promote the development of national long-term pathways for food and land-use systems by local research teams, and their integration to the global scale.
FABLE UK in collaboration with the Welsh government develops four pathways towards achieving climate and biodiversity targets in Wales. The paper, published in Regional Environmental Change demonstrates that alternative approaches to achieving nature-positive and carbon–neutral land use and food systems may be possible.
There is currently an inconsistent understanding of what “regenerative agriculture” is, the practices it entails and outcomes it can achieve. This report by the FOLU Coalition presents a review of evidence on how specific regenerative agricultural practices link to three important farm-level outcomes: biodiversity, climate change mitigation and yield.
Expanding organic farming to the Swedish national target of 30% of farmland under organic production remains challenging. In this study, FABLE Sweden developed two scenarios to evaluate the role of organic farming in the broader context of Swedish food systems.
This editorial discusses the key leverage points, methodological advances, and multi-sector engagement strategies presented and applied by FABLE to set countries and our planet on course for achieving food security, biodiversity, freshwater, and climate targets by 2050.
An article by FABLE Rwanda was published in Sustainability Science. Using the FABLE Calculator, the team explores the potential implications of Rwanda's Vision 2050 on land use, carbon sequestration and biodiversity conservation.
An article by FABLE Argentina was published in Sustainability Science. It presents a carbon neutral, actionable food system and land-use scenario that could also lead to the achievement of biodiversity, freshwater use, food production and carbon storage targets by 2050.
A new paper by FABLE US was published in Sustainability Science. The findings suggest that healthy U.S. diets can significantly contribute toward meeting U.S. long-term climate goals for the land use sectors.
A new paper by FABLE UK was published in Sustainability Science. This paper presents evidence from three pathways (current trends, sustainable medium ambition, and sustainable high ambition) to mid-century that were co-created with UK policymakers.
A new paper by FABLE Mexico was published in Sustainability Science. The authors demonstrate that Mexico can feasibly adopt a sustainable land-use pathway that provides adequate nutrition for the population by 2050, limit agricultural expansion, reduce GHG emissions, and expand forested lands.
The new paper by FABLE Finland was published in Sustainability Science. The results suggest that food diet changes, if coupled to increased crop yields and significant land use change, may together contribute to 46% reduction in AFOLU emissions in Finland by 2050.
The brief highlights how countries’ food and land use systems can contribute to net zero targets and hold global warming below 2˚C. It classifies countries into six profiles, in order to identify priority actions in their food and land use systems according to their specific contexts.
A new paper by FABLE Canada was published in Sustainability Science. The results illustrate the importance of increasingly stringent policies in meeting the targets, and the role that population and consumption play in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and protecting forestland.
The FABLE Consortium published its first perspective paper in Sustainability Science. The authors present FABLE's approach and demonstrate how it can be used to reconcile global and national elements for developing national food and land-use system pathways.
FABLE Germany's latest paper was published in Organic Agriculture. The authors estimate yield differences between conventional and organic systems, and use the FABLE Calculator to assess changes in calories available per person and day, the extent of cropland, pasture and area where natural processes predominate.
A new paper led by the FABLE Australia team was published in Sustainability Science. The authors use 'scenario discovery' to design resilient pathways to sustainability in which multiple target achievement requires a broad portfolio of solutions.
A new paper led by the FABLE Germany team was published in Sustainability Science. The authors surveyed different stakeholder groups on their opinions about realistic changes in the food and land use system in Germany up to 2050, and developed four national pathways.
A new paper led by FABLE India and the PIK MAgPIE modelling team, was published in Sustainability Science. The authors construct three potential pathways for India to achieve its emissions target by 2050, involving healthy diets and different levels of ambition for mitigation action.
A new paper led by FABLE China was published in Sustainability Science. The authors provide a forward-looking assessment of China’s fertilizer policies to improve agricultural nutrient management efficiency.
A new paper by FABLE India and the PIK MAgPIE modelling team was published in Environmental Research Letters. The study reviews multiple options to sustain food and land use systems through a geo-spatial integrated partial equilibrium model.
New research by the FABLE Consortium shows how much progress can be made towards global biodiversity targets if urgent action is taken to make food and land use systems more sustainable.
SDSN launched a policy brief to present the case for the need to integrate nature and climate. The brief outlines practical steps, particularly drawing on spatial planning, to operationalize the 30x30 target and meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
A new paper by FABLE China was published in Nature Sustainability. The paper provides a comprehensive forward-looking assessment of the environmental impacts of China’s growing demand on the country and on its trading partners.
FABLE publishes updated documentation for the FABLE Calculator, including the improvements made to the tool, such as scenarios for protected areas, land where natural processes predominate, and much more.
This FABLE policy brief examines the implications of shifts towards healthier diets on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, deforestation, agricultural production, and trade, should these shifts take place.
The second global report by the FABLE Consortium presents pathways towards sustainable land-use and food systems for Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Colombia, Ethiopia, Finland, Germany, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Norway, Russian Federation, Rwanda, South Africa, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
FABLE develops protein transformation pathways that show how the protein sector could drive the agricultural sector to reach net-zero by 2050 and play a positive role in biodiversity restoration.
Nature is declining globally at rates unprecedented in millions of years. In this report, FABLE zooms in to demonstrate why country-led modelling is needed to achieve long-term sustainability in food and land-use systems.
This first global report by the FABLE Consortium presents pathways towards sustainable land-use and food systems prepared by 18 country teams from Argentina, Australia, Brazil, China, Canada, Colombia, Ethiopia, European Union, Finland, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Russia, Rwanda, Sweden, UK, and the United States.
This Nature Comment discuss three steps to fix the food system, including the Food, Agriculture, Biodiversity, Land-Use, and Energy (FABLE) Consortium, which is part of the Food and Land-Use Coalition.
SDSN's Executive Director Guido Scmidt-Traub and IIASA’s Michael Obersteiner shared their analysis on the importance of fixing food systems to meet the SDGs in an article published in the magazine Horizons.
Through a policy brief the work of the FABLE Consortium has been formally proposed for adoption by the G20 as a signature initiative on the SDGs by the T20 (Think20) – a group of influential think tanks from G20 countries.